31st Annual Demographic Workshop

Image: 31st Annual Demographic Workshop

Accelerating Planning to Catch Up to
21st Century Demographics

Presented by the Southern California Association of Governments and the University of Southern California (USC) Sol Price School of Public Policy

VIRTUAL WORKSHOPS

June 11 and 18, 2020

The Southern California Association of Governments (SCAG) and University of Southern California (USC) Sol Price School of Public Policy hosted the 31st Annual Demographic Workshop. Due to the novel coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, this year’s event was split into two webinars – Part 1 took place on Thursday, June 11, 2020, and Part 2 took place on Thursday, June 18, 2020.

For additional details about the event, please contact John Cho at choj@scag.ca.gov.

PART 1, THURSDAY, JUNE 11

 

    The Changing Demographic Outlook and Housing Trends

   

1:30 p.m.

Introductions

  • Jack Knott, Ph.D., Dean, Sol Price School of Public Policy, University of Southern California
  • Kome Ajise, Executive Director, Southern California Association of Governments
  • Hon. Rex Richardson, President, Southern California Association of Governments

1:45 p.m.

Demographic Check-Up: Continued Slow Growth?

  • Beth Jarosz, Senior Research Associate, U.S. Programs, Population Reference Bureau
    [ VIEW PRESENTATION ]
  • Armando Mendoza, Data Dissemination Specialist, Customer Liaison & Marketing Services Office, U.S. Census Bureau
    [ VIEW PRESENTATION ]
  • Walter Schwarm, Chief, Demographic Research Unit, California Department of Finance
    [ VIEW PRESENTATION ]

Moderator: Janna Z. Goldberg, Ph.D., Director of Research, LendingClub

2:30 p.m.

Demographic Change and Housing

  • Dowell Myers, Ph.D., Professor and Director, Population Dynamics Research Group, University of Southern California
    [ VIEW PRESENTATION ]
  • Gary Painter, Ph.D., Professor and Director of Social Policy, USC Sol Price Center for Social Innovation, University of Southern California
    [ VIEW PRESENTATION ]
  • JungHo Park, Ph.D., Postdoctoral Researcher, Population Dynamics Research Group, University of Southern California
    [ VIEW PRESENTATION ]

Moderator: Linda M. Wheaton, AICP, Senior Housing Policy Advisor, Southern California Association of Governments

3:15 p.m.

Break

3:45 p.m.

Roundtable Discussions

  • Differential Privacy and Census Data
    Jonathan Buttle, Research Data Specialist II, Demographic Research Unit, California Department of Finance
    [ VIEW PRESENTATION ]
  • Housing Planning for the Future
    Sohab Mehmood, Housing Policy Specialist, Land Use and Planning Unit, California Department of Housing and Community Development
    [ VIEW PRESENTATION ]
  • Introduction to data.census.gov, Census Bureau’s New Website
    Armando Mendoza, Data Dissemination Specialist, Customer Liaison & Marketing Services Office, U.S. Census Bureau

4:45 p.m.

Adjourn

Videos



Speaker Bios


Image: Jonathan Buttle

Jonathan Buttle
Research Data Specialist II, Demographic Research Unit, California Department of Finance

Jonathan Buttle is a Research Data Specialist II with the Demographic Research Unit in the California Department of Finance. His responsibilities include designing and programming custom data visualizations for the Demographic Research Unit website; retrieval, analysis, and distribution of U.S. Census Bureau products and data sets; assisting clients both inside of and outside of the Department of Finance with questions about American Community Survey and Current Population Survey data sets and producing custom data tabulations. His research interests include data science with an emphasis on visualization.

Jonathan has a M.A. in Economics from the California State University, Sacramento. He was a Jesse Marvin Unruh Assembly Fellow and prior to working at the Department of Finance served as a budget analyst for the California Department of Consumer Affairs and the Contractor’s State License Board.

Image: Janna Goldberg

Janna Z. Goldberg
Director of Research, LendingClub

Janna Z. Goldberg is the Director of Research at LendingClub. Prior to LendingClub, Janna worked for The RAND Corporation Survey Research Group for over six years on a variety of studies related to social policy and health. She also worked at Age Wave as a Vice President. She specializes in mixed-methods research related to changes over the life course, family formation, housing demography, and the transition to adulthood.

Janna holds a Ph.D. in urban planning and development, with a specialization in demography, from the Sol Price School of Public Policy at the University of Southern California, a master’s degree in international relations from the University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, a certificate in global health with a focus on aging from the Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, and a bachelor’s degree in political science and art history from the University of California, San Diego.

Image: Beth Jarosz

Beth Jarosz
Senior Research Associate, U.S. Programs, Population Reference Bureau

Beth Jarosz is a senior research associate in PRB’s United States Programs where she manages projects based in California. Prior to joining PRB, Ms. Jarosz was Senior Demographer at the San Diego Association of Governments and taught sociology at Pensacola State College. She has been both a panelist and steering committee member for National Academies workshops on the American Community Survey, is on the board of the Association of Public Data Users, and is Vice President of the Southern Demographic Association. Her publications include research on inequality, trends in fertility and mortality, and population estimation and forecasting. She has been quoted by numerous national and local news organizations. She completed her master’s degree in Demographic and Social Analysis at the University of California, Irvine.

Image: Sohab Mehmood

Sohab Mehmood
Housing Policy Specialist, Land Use and Planning Unit, California Department of Housing and Community Development

Sohab Mehmood works within the Land Use and Planning Unit at HCD's Housing Policy Division. She specializes in housing elements and is the team lead on the Technical Assistance Program that serves SB2 Planning Grants, LEAP, REAP, and Prohousing.

Image:Armando Mendoza

Armando Mendoza
Data Dissemination Specialist, Customer Liaison & Marketing Services Office, U.S. Census Bureau

Mr. Mendoza has worked in a number of capacities for the Census Bureau over the past decade, including leadership roles on the 2010 Census and 2020 Census early preparations. Other roles include 2020 Statistics in Schools Program (SIS) outreach and engagement with pre-K-12 educational organizations, education efforts to facilitate broad use of Census Bureau data products by providing training, workshops, presentations and Webinars to businesses, educational organizations, community and faith-based organizations on using data tools and apps to access census data from the Decennial Census, Economic Census, and the American Community Survey.

Prior of joining the Census Bureau, Armando served in a range of executive positions in the reprographics industry. He provided leadership in several firms in California, Nevada, Arizona, Washington, and Mexico.

He was born in Chihuahua, Mexico. He holds an M.B.A. from The Argyros School of Business and Economics at Chapman University, and an Executive Certificate in Global Management from Thunderbird University.

Image: Dowell Myers

Dowell Myers, Ph.D.
Professor and Director, Population Dynamics Research Group, University of Southern California

Dowell Myers is a professor of policy, planning, and demography in the Sol Price School of Public Policy at USC. He directs the Population Dynamics Research Group and is a leading expert on California’s changing demographics that lead the nation’s. Dr. Myers has specialized in the demographics of housing demand and needs, with recent studies of "Peak Millennials" and future homeownership. He is also expert in trends of both immigration and children, the two groups who will form our future workforce that will replace retiring baby boomers. Dr. Myers holds his PhD from MIT, a Master of City Planning from UC-Berkeley, and a BA in anthropology from Columbia University. Many of his publications are available at https://sites.usc.edu/popdynamics/.

Image: Gary Painter

Gary Painter, Ph.D.
Professor and Director of Social Policy, USC Sol Price Center for Social Innovation, University of Southern California

Gary Painter is a Professor in the Sol Price School of Public Policy at the University of Southern California. He also serves as the Director of the Sol Price Center for Social Innovation and the Homelessness Policy Research Institute. He recently published a co-authored book entitled, “Payment by Results and Social Impact Bonds: Outcome-based Payment Systems in the UK and US.” He has published numerous articles in top journals such as the Review of Economics and Statistics, Journal of Urban Economics, Urban Studies, Journal of Human Resources, Journal of Policy Analysis and Management, Real Estate Economics, Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, and Regional Science and Urban Economics.

Professor Painter is a leading figure in the field of social innovation. In addition to his recent book, he works extensively with a variety of social innovation organizations and collective impact networks to address some of the grand challenges that society faces. His current research focuses on how to activate the social innovation process. Professor Painter also has extensive expertise in housing, urban economics, and education policy, which shapes his research on how the social innovation process can identify new models of social change within these complex policy areas.

He has served as a consultant for the National Association of Realtors, Pacific Economics Group, Andrew Davidson Co., Fannie Mae, Grant Thorton LLP, Burr Consulting, and the Research Institute for Housing America.

Image: JungHo Park

JungHo Park, Ph.D.
Postdoctoral Researcher, Population Dynamics Research Group, University of Southern California

JungHo Park is a postdoctoral researcher at the USC Population Dynamics Research Group. His research is based in the field of housing demography, focusing on housing shortages, rental affordability, housing needs assessment, and spatial distribution of subsidized housing. Before joining USC, Dr. Park was a researcher of the national forecasting and projections team at the Korea Research Institute for Human Settlements (KRIHS). He has been an engineer at the Samsung Construction Group and the Hyundai Development Company in South Korea. Dr. Park holds his PhD from the University of Southern California.

Image: Walter Schwarm

Walter Schwarm
Chief, Demographic Research Unit, California Department of Finance

Walter Schwarm joined the Demographic Research Unit of the California Department of Finance in 2006 as an Analyst in the city projections assignment. He moved to the State Data Center assignment as a Research Program Specialist in January 2009. From 2003-2006 he was the Post-Doctoral Research Fellow at the Regional Research Institute at West Virginia University, involved in a variety of public and privately funded research projects while maintaining the West Virginia population projections. He earned his Ph.D. in Economics from Colorado State University in 2002. Mr. Schwarm research involved modeling small region fiscal interactions and revenue sharing issues, and he has published a number of papers in academic journals as well as several book chapters.

Image: Linda Wheaton

Linda M. Wheaton, AICP
Senior Housing Policy Advisor, Southern California Association of Governments

Linda is a Senior Housing Policy Advisor at SCAG, following many years of policy work at the California Department of Housing and Community Development (HCD). California’s dynamic demographic issues have been central to her work with myriad stakeholders in state and local housing policy, planning and programs, and financial assistance related to transportation, public health, and climate change. She is a member of the American Institute of Certified Planners (AICP), an M.C.P from the University of California, Berkeley, and several housing and land use organizations.



SUPPORTING PARTNERS


U.S. Census Bureau, California State Census Data Center, California Department of Finance, California Department of Housing and Community Development, USC Population Dynamics Research Group


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Past Workshops

Make It Count — The Impact of Census 2020 & Connect SoCal on Our Future

Presented by USC Sol Price School of Public Policy and the Southern California Association of Governments

Tuesday, June 11, 2019
8:30 a.m. - 3:30 p.m.

University of Southern California
Trojan Grand Ballroom
Ronald Tutor Campus Center
3607 Trousdale Parkway
Los Angeles, CA 90089

View Photo Gallery

Downloads


Presentations

Panel 1: Demographic Check-up: Beginning of Slow Growth?


Panel 2: Preparing for Census 2020


Panel 3: Demographic Change & Housing Needs


Panel 4: Demographic Change & Long-Range Regional Planning


Luncheon Keynote Presentation: Preparing for the Best Possible Census in 2020


Roundtable Discussions


SUPPORTING PARTNERS:

U.S. Census Bureau, California State Census Data Center, California Department of Finance, California Department of Housing and Community Development, USC Population Dynamics Research Group


​​​​​​​​​

Lasting Demographic Impacts After the Recovery

Presented by USC Sol Price School of Public Policy and the Southern California Association of Governments

Monday, June 11, 2018
8:30 a.m. - 3:30 p.m.

University of Southern California
Trojan Grand Ballroom
Ronald Tutor Campus Center
3607 Trousdale Parkway
Los Angeles, CA 90089

View Photo Gallery

Downloads

Presentations

Panel 1: DEMOGRAPHIC CHECK-UP: A DECADE OF RECOVERY

Panel 2: IS THE REGION EXPERIENCING AN OVERHEATED RECOVERY?

Panel 3: DEMOGRAPHIC CHANGE & HOUSING SHORTAGE

Panel 4: DEMOGRAPHIC CHANGE & TRANSPORTATION CHOICE

Luncheon Keynote Presentation: WHEN WILL AN AGING AMERICA STOP MUGGING THE FUTURE?

Afternoon Greetings

Afternoon Roundtables


SUPPORTING PARTNERS:

U.S. Census Bureau, California State Census Data Center, California Department of Finance, California Department of Housing and Community Development, USC Population Dynamics Research Group


Volatile Demographics: How High & How Low?

Presented by USC Sol Price School of Public Policy and the Southern California Association of Governments

Held on Monday, June 26, 2017
8:30 a.m. - 3:30 p.m.

University of Southern California
Trojan Grand Ballroom
Ronald Tutor Campus Center
3607 Trousdale Parkway
Los Angeles, CA 90089

View Photo Gallery Watch Videos

Downloads

Presentations

Demographic Trends Under Trump Administration & New Demographics

Panel 1: Fertility Rate: How Low Can It Go?

Panel 2: Immigration, Workforce & Housing: How Big A Change? What Additional Labor Can Be Cultivated?

Panel 3: Robots: How Big A Change?

Luncheon Keynote Presentation

Afternoon Roundtables


SUPPORTING PARTNERS:

US Census Bureau, California State Census Data Center, California Department of Finance, California Department of Housing and Community Development, USC Population Dynamics Research Group


The Continued Rise of the Millennials?

Presented by USC Sol Price School of Public Policy and the Southern California Association of Governments

Monday, June 13, 2016
8:00 a.m. - 3:00 p.m.

California Science Center
Loker Conference Room
700 Exposition Park Drive
Los Angeles, CA 90037

Links

Watch Videos

Presentations

2020 Census Goes Digital: Early Findings from the LA Experiment

Growth and Diversity of Millennials: Is Decline Coming?

Panel 1: Critical Importance of Millenials and Housing

Panel 2: Urban Revitalization and Gentrification

Luncheon Keynote Presentation

Afternoon Roundtables


SUPPORTING PARTNERS:

US Census Bureau, California State Census Data Center, California Department of Finance, California Department of Housing and Community Development, USC Population Dynamics Research Group

Big Changes Ahead in Post-Recession California

Presented by USC Sol Price School of Public Policy and the Southern California Association of Governments

on Monday, June 1, 2015
at the Loker Conference Room,
California Science Center

Downloads

Presentations