Research, Analysis and Papers

This page includes research and analysis compiled and completed by the Forecasting Staff

The Policy Growth Forecast

2008 RTP Environmental Justice Report

Environmental Justice is an integral part of the planning process, which must be considered in all phases of planning. The socio-economic estimates and projections mandated for the long-range planning efforts are also developed by SCAG’s Forecasting staff for purposes of the Environmental Justice Report, as a component of the 2008 Regional Transportation Plan.

2008 RTP Chapter II: The Shape and Pattern of Future Growth

Download the 2008 RTP Chapter II: The Shape and Pattern of Future Growth report available on the Final 2008 RTP website.

2008 RTP Supplemental Report on Growth Forecast

Download the 008 RTP Supplemental Report on Growth Forecast available on the Final 2008 RTP website.

Venture Capital Dataset and Analysis

The Venture Capital Analysis highlights the work done by SCAG’s Economic Development staff and makes available venture capital data for the SCAG Region, from 1995-2007.

• Venture Capital in the SCAG Region Report, April 2008
• Venture Capital Data by Zip Code for the SCAG Region (1995-2007)

Published Papers and Publications

• "Measuring the Effects of the Changing Demographic Compositions on Vehicle Miles of Travel (VMT) Growth Using the Standardization and Decomposition Techniques" presented by Simon Choi and Hsi-Hwa Hu at the 2008 TRB Conference on Impact of Changing Demographics on the Transportation System, Washington, D.C., October 27-28, 2008
• "Forecasting Consistency and the Small Area Secondary Variables Allocation Model (SASVAM)" presented by Simon Choi and SungHo Ryu for the 2008 COG/MPO Mini Conference, San Diego, California, August 8-9, 2008
• "GIS Approach to Measure Accurate Spatial Distribution of Aviation Noise and Affected Populations" presented by Simon Choi, Ping Wang, Ying Zhou, and SungHo Ryu for the 2008 ESRI International User Conference, San Diego, California, August 4-7, 2008
• "Regional Housing Needs Allocation: The Southern California Approach" presented by Simon Choi, Frank Wen, and Joe Carreras at the 4th ACSP-AESOP Congress, Chicago, Illinois, July 6-11, 2008
• "Using a Demographic-Economic Accounting Matrix (DEAM) to Project Income Distribution in Southern California" prepared by Simon Choi for the Population Association of America Annual Meeting, New Orleans, Louisiana, April 17-20, 2008
• "Testing the Convergence of Hispanic Headship Rates: The Case of Southern California" presented by Simon Choi at the 47th Annual Meeting of Western Regional Science Association (WRSA), The Big Island, Hawaii, February 17-20, 2008
• "Monitoring Small Area Growth with GIS: An Application to the City of Los Angeles" presented by Simon Choi, Kyuyoung Cho, Elizabeth Delgado, Sung Ho Ryu, and Ping Wang at the 2007 ESRI International User Conference, San Diego, CA, June 18-22, 2007
• "Socioeconomic Forecast and Model: Survey Results" presented by Simon Choi and Linqian Hu at the 2007 COG/MPO Mini Conference, San Diego, CA, June 21-22, 2007
• "A Gross Migration Optimization Technique of Developing In-and-Out Migration Assumptions for Regional Population Projections" presented by Simon Choi and Kyuyoung Cho at the 2007 Annual Meeting of Population Association of America, New York, NY, March 29-31, 2007
• "Regional Growth Forecast & Subregional/ Local Input" presented by Simon Choi and Elizabeth Delgado at the 2006 COG/MPO Mini Conference, San Diego, CA, August 11-12, 2006
• "Using GIS and Modeling to Improve Small Area School Enrollment Projections" presented by Simon Choi and Ping Wang at the 2006 ESRI International User Conference, San Diego, CA, August 7-10, 2006

Useful Links

• CA Board of Equalization (BOE)
• CA Department of Finance
• CA Department of Industrial Relations
• Division of Labor Statistics and Research
• CA Employment Development Department (EDD)
• CA State Franchise Tax Board (FTB)
• US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS)
• US Census Bureau
• US Department of Commerce
• Bureau of Economic Analysis
• US Bureau of Transportation Statistics (BTS)

Contact

If you have a data request or question regarding the content of this page, please contact Simon Choi at (213) 236-1849 or email at choi@scag.ca.gov.