Research, Analysis and Papers

This page includes research and analysis compiled and completed by the Forecasting Staff

The Policy Growth Forecast

2008 RTP Environmental Justice Report

Environmental Justice is an integral part of the planning process, which must be considered in all phases of planning. The socio-economic estimates and projections mandated for the long-range planning efforts are also developed by SCAG's Forecasting staff for purposes of the Environmental Justice Report, as a component of the 2008 Regional Transportation Plan.

2008 RTP Chapter II: The Shape and Pattern of Future Growth

Download the 2008 RTP Chapter II: The Shape and Pattern of Future Growth report available on the Final 2008 RTP website.

2008 RTP Supplemental Report on Growth Forecast

Download the 008 RTP Supplemental Report on Growth Forecast available on the Final 2008 RTP website.

Venture Capital Dataset and Analysis

The Venture Capital Analysis highlights the work done by SCAG's Economic Development staff and makes available venture capital data for the SCAG Region, from 1995-2007.

• Venture Capital in the SCAG Region Report, April 2008
• Venture Capital Data by Zip Code for the SCAG Region (1995-2007)

Published Papers and Publications

• "Projecting Regional Population in the Middle of an Economic Recession: Case of Southern California" presented by Simon Choi at the 57th Annual North American Meetings of the Regional Science Association International, Denver, Colorado, November 10-13, 2010
• "Application of the Cohort Component Model to Development of Local Population Projections" presented by Simon Choi at the 51st Association of Collegiate Schools of Planning Conference, Minneapolis, Minnesota, October 7-10, 2010
• "Enhancing GIS Accessibility for Local Governments in Southern California - SCAG Pilot GIS Services Program" presented by Ping Wang, Javier Minjares, Simon Choi, Frank Wen, Nina Tozzi, Walberto Martin at the 2010 ESRI International User Conference, San Diego, California, July 15, 2010
• "Measuring Greenhouse Gas Emissions with a Sustainability Tool" presented by Jung A Uhm, Frank Wen, Hsi-Hwa Hu, Simon Choi, at the 2010 ESRI International User Conference, San Diego, California, July 14, 2010
• "New Developments in Southern California and TOD - Geographically Weighted Regression" presented by Cheol-Ho Lee, Frank Wen, Simon Choi at the 2010 ESRI International User Conference, San Diego, California, July 14, 2010
• "Comparison of Local Economic Models, REMI, IMPLAN and Southern California's Inter-County Social Account Matrix (SCI-SAM): Impact Analysis on LA-LB Dual Ports Disruption" presented by Jiyoung Park, Changkeun Park, Simon Choi at the Mid-Continent Regional Science Association 41st Annual Conference, St. Louis, Missouri, June 5, 2010
• "Unplanned Land Development and Land Use Change in Southern California" presented by Cheol-Ho Lee, Simon Choi, Frank Wen at the Mid-Continent Regional Science Association 41st Annual Conference, St. Louis, Missouri, June 5, 2010
• "Using GIS to Build a Small Area Zonal System" presented by Ying Zhou, Kimberly Martin, Simon Choi at the URISA CalGIS Conference, Huntington Beach, California, April 20, 2010
• "Urban Land Use Change and Parcel Demography - From Rule to Price" presented by Cheol-Ho Lee, Simon Choi, Frank Wen at the Association of American Geographers 2010 Annual Meeting, Washington, DC, April 10-16, 2010
• "Fiscal Regionalism in the Face of Economic Recession: Fiscal Stewardship & Poverty Pockets in Metropolitan Areas" presented by Hyunsun Choi, Simon Choi, Yoon-Kyung Oh, David Boston at the 2010 American Society for Public Administration (ASPA) 70th National Conference at San Jose, California, April 9-13, 2010
• "Global Climate Change & Policy Responses: Impacts of AB32/SB375 on Regional Planning Framework and Process in California" presented by Simon Choi and Hyunsun Choi at the 70th Annual Conference of the American Society for Public Administration (ASPA), San Jose, California, April 9-13, 2010
• "Urban Form and Greenhouse Gas Emissions" presented by Simon Choi and Sung Su Yoon at the 49th Annual Meeting of the Western Regional Science Association (WRSA), Sedona, Arizona, February 21-24, 2010
• "Economic Recession and Population Projections in a Regional Planning Context" presented by Simon Choi at the 2010 Applied Demography Conference, San Antonio, Texas, January 10-12, 2010
• "Modeling the County to County Migration Flows in the Multi-County Metropolitan Region" presented by Simon Choi at the 56th Annual North American Meetings of the Regional Science Association International (RSAI), San Francisco, California, November 18-21, 2009
• "Searching the Optimal and Acceptable Urban Form for Regional Sustainable Planning" presented by Simon Choi, Hsi-Hwa Hu, Sung Su Yoon at the 50th Anniversary Association of Collegiate School of Planning (ACSP) Conference, Crystal City, Virginia, October 1-4, 2009
• "Developing a Local Planning Model for Measuring the Impacts of Land Use Scenarios on Transportation" presented by Hsi-Hwa Hu, JungA Uhm, Simon Choi, Cheol-Ho Lee at the 50th Anniversary Association of Collegiate School of Planning (ACSP) Conference, Crystal City, Virginia, October 1-4, 2009
• "Developing a Multiregional Social Account Matrix (MSAM) for Projecting Household Income Distribution in SCAG Region" presented by JiYoung Park, Simon Choi, Frank Wen at the 50th Anniversary Association of Collegiate School of Planning (ACSP) Conference, Crystal City, Virginia, October 1-4, 2009
• "Socioeconomic Modeling for Activity Based Models" presented by Simon Choi and Cheol-Ho Lee at the 2009 COG/MPO Mini Conference, San Diego, CA, July 17, 2009
• "Growth Visioning and Regional Planning" presented by Simon Choi and Hyunsun Choi at the 48th Annual Meeting of the Western Regional Science Association, Napa Valley, CA, February 22-25, 2009
• "Measuring the Effects of the Changing Demographic Compositions on Vehicle Miles of Travel (VMT) Growth Using the Standardization and Decomposition Techniques" presented by Simon Choi and Hsi-Hwa Hu at the 2008 TRB Conference on Impact of Changing Demographics on the Transportation System, Washington, D.C., October 27-28, 2008
• "Forecasting Consistency and the Small Area Secondary Variables Allocation Model (SASVAM)" presented by Simon Choi and SungHo Ryu for the 2008 COG/MPO Mini Conference, San Diego, California, August 8-9, 2008
• "GIS Approach to Measure Accurate Spatial Distribution of Aviation Noise and Affected Populations" presented by Simon Choi, Ping Wang, Ying Zhou, and SungHo Ryu for the 2008 ESRI International User Conference, San Diego, California, August 4-7, 2008
• "Regional Housing Needs Allocation: The Southern California Approach" presented by Simon Choi, Frank Wen, and Joe Carreras at the 4th ACSP-AESOP Congress, Chicago, Illinois, July 6-11, 2008
• "Using a Demographic-Economic Accounting Matrix (DEAM) to Project Income Distribution in Southern California" prepared by Simon Choi for the Population Association of America Annual Meeting, New Orleans, Louisiana, April 17-20, 2008
• "Testing the Convergence of Hispanic Headship Rates: The Case of Southern California" presented by Simon Choi at the 47th Annual Meeting of Western Regional Science Association (WRSA), The Big Island, Hawaii, February 17-20, 2008
• "Monitoring Small Area Growth with GIS: An Application to the City of Los Angeles" presented by Simon Choi, Kyuyoung Cho, Elizabeth Delgado, Sung Ho Ryu, and Ping Wang at the 2007 ESRI International User Conference, San Diego, CA, June 18-22, 2007
• "Socioeconomic Forecast and Model: Survey Results" presented by Simon Choi and Linqian Hu at the 2007 COG/MPO Mini Conference, San Diego, CA, June 21-22, 2007
• "A Gross Migration Optimization Technique of Developing In-and-Out Migration Assumptions for Regional Population Projections" presented by Simon Choi and Kyuyoung Cho at the 2007 Annual Meeting of Population Association of America, New York, NY, March 29-31, 2007
• "Regional Growth Forecast & Subregional/ Local Input" presented by Simon Choi and Elizabeth Delgado at the 2006 COG/MPO Mini Conference, San Diego, CA, August 11-12, 2006
• "Using GIS and Modeling to Improve Small Area School Enrollment Projections" presented by Simon Choi and Ping Wang at the 2006 ESRI International User Conference, San Diego, CA, August 7-10, 2006

Useful Links

• CA Board of Equalization (BOE)
• CA Department of Finance
• CA Department of Industrial Relations
• Division of Labor Statistics and Research
• CA Employment Development Department (EDD)
• CA State Franchise Tax Board (FTB)
• US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS)
• US Census Bureau
• US Department of Commerce
• Bureau of Economic Analysis
• US Bureau of Transportation Statistics (BTS)

Contact

If you have a data request or question regarding the content of this page, please contact Simon Choi at (213) 236-1849 or email at choi@scag.ca.gov.